Impact-oriented flood warning
Weather forecasts support local crisis intervention forces in undertaking emergency measures, such as temporarily evacuating people from flood hazard zones, removing movable goods (e.g. cars) from potentially flooded areas, or dislocating movable household items from lower floors to upper floors in endangered houses. However, a reliable and precise forecast of an extreme precipitation’s impact is fundamental for these interventions to be a valuable additional flood risk management option.
We want to develop a method for “translating” precipitation forecasts to impact-based warning messages. We will create a prototype for predicting the direct consequences of a forecasted rainfall event in the short term (lead times of 6-24 h), particularly for predicting site-specific flood losses. The development of this method is based on previous experiences of the project “M-AARE Model chain atmosphere-hydraology-hydraulics-flood impacts”. The existing models will be adapted to predict the impacts of river floods, lake floods, and surface water floods 6-24 hours before an expected rainfall event.
Modelling climate-sensitive forests in Switzerland
Development of decision-bases for climate change adaptation in forestry.
Modelling range shifts of altitudinal elevation belts in Swiss forests due to climatic changes changes
In 2015, we modelled the range shifts of altitudinal vegetation belts in Swiss forests due to climatic changes. The maps are available at map.geo.admin.ch. We are updating the models by considering the new climate scenarios of CH2018.
Modelling of forest vegetation types in the Canton of Bern
We are modelling a vegetation types map of the forested areas in the Canton of Bern.
Modelling of forest vegetation types in the Canton of Schwyz
We are modelling a vegetation types map of the forested areas in the Canton of Schwyz.
